In the aftermath of Trump’s election, it was widely presumed new political groundwork would be laid over the rubble of the old. That has not
So what should we expect in the coming year, as America’s most popular reality show, the Presidential election, gets renewed for a new season? The
Trump’s entrance onto the political scene in 2015 was a watershed in that the traditional metrics and punditry that had worked so well in previous
America’s two political parties have consistently maintained the same ideologies or “meta-platforms” over the past 50 years, to large degree over the past century. The
Trump’s victory and inauguration was a winter of discontent for the Democrats and American Left: scenes of crying, shock, hysteria, wailing, and gnashing of teeth
By the fall of 2018, noted election analysts, from Charlie Cook to Nate Silver to Larry Sabato, observed a strange divergence in their Midterm forecasts:
In his rallies across the country, President Trump has sounded notes of both urgency and optimism about the Midterms. He’s predicted that the coming “wave”
Intra-party coalitions are the essence of America’s stable, two-party structure. Realignment of these coalitions are, in the words of Walter Dean Burnham, America’s “surrogate for
By the spring of 2018, liberal activists and journalists began talking about a “Blue Wave,” a term that became a hashtag on social media. The
This essay is the first part of NPI’s 2018 Outlook, a broad political analysis and forecast coinciding with the 2018 Midterm elections. Introduction The Blue